 Originally published in the Jan. 2011 Socionomist |
The Obama administration has told federal departments and agencies to take aggressive steps to end the release of further classified information to WikiLeaks. The steps were outlined in a memorandum from Jacob J. Lew, director of the Office of Management and Budget. The memorandum encourages agencies to create measures to “detect behavioral changes” in employees. It encourages the use of psychiatrists and sociologists to measure “relative happiness as a means to gauge trustworthiness” and “despondence and grumpiness as a means to gauge waning trustworthiness.”
Increasingly authoritarian government rule is not surprising given the ongoing bear market in social mood at Cycle, Supercycle and Grand Supercycle degree. The Institute’s Alan Hall listed many other expressions of government authority in his study in the April and May 2010 issues of The Socionomist. “Socionomics suggests that today’s expressions of authoritarianism are occurring at the beginning of a much larger trend,” Hall wrote.
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Most economists, historians and sociologists
presume that events determine society’s mood. But socionomics hypothesizes
the opposite: that social mood regulates the character of social events. The
events of history—such as investment booms and busts, political events,
macroeconomic trends and even peace and war—are the products of a naturally
occurring pattern of social-mood fluctuation. Such events, therefore, are not
randomly distributed, as is commonly believed, but are in fact probabilistically
predictable. Socionomics also posits that the stock market is the best available
meter of a society’s aggregate mood, that news is irrelevant to social
mood, and that financial and economic decision-making are fundamentally different
in that financial decisions are motivated by the herding impulse while economic
choices are guided by supply and demand. For more information about socionomic
theory, see (1) the text, The
Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior © 1999, by Robert Prechter;
(2) the introductory documentary History's
Hidden Engine; (3) the video Toward
a New Science of Social Prediction, Prechter’s 2004 speech before
the London School of Economics in which he presents evidence to support his
socionomic hypothesis; and (4) the Socionomics Institute’s website, www.socionomics.net.
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