Social Mood Conference | Socionomics Foundation

By Alan Hall | Excerpted from the April 2014 Socionomist


[Large-degree trends in social mood grow increasingly influential in driving expressions of mood, overriding short-term fluctuations.

Alan Hall’s fascinating article explains that a large-degree negative trend in social mood magnified and strengthened German authoritarianism, specifically by fueling the rise of the Nazi Party, Adolph Hitler’s ascension to power, the Holocaust, and Germany’s defeat in World War II.

Here’s an excerpt of the April 2014 report.]

The early authoritarian-boosting events in Figure 1 tended to occur at negative extremes in social mood. For example, Hitler seized control of the German Workers Party at the 1920 low. At the major low in 1932, the Nazis won 37% of the popular vote. Chapter 16 of The Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior says,

As an extreme example, the collective mood in Germany in July 1932 was so negative that its expression produced Adolph Hitler …. The consequences of the social action taken just after the social-mood low took thirteen years to play out because the representatives of the negative popular mood gained such great political power.


In 1933 at a higher low, Hitler gained authority, dissolved the Reichstag, opened the Dachau concentration camp and started the Gestapo; and the Nazis won 44% of the public vote. Early in the major trend, negative social mood extremes impelled events that enabled further authoritarian activity.

By 1934, 15 years into the negative trend that began at the August 1918 peak, the influence of the long-term trend seemed to overwhelm the short-term fluctuations. A “New Normal” had coalesced, and negative social mood extremes were no longer necessary to boost authoritarianism. (See the authoritarianism study in the April 2010 issue of The Socionomist.)…


In the remainder of this brief two-page report, Alan Hall explains that the fearful, long-term trend toward negative social mood continued to drive extreme authoritarian acts in Germany after Hitler’s 1933 power gain.

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