Social Mood Conference | Socionomics Foundation

February 27, 2023

“What happens now?” That was the question posed by an NPR article after Russia decided to suspend its last nuclear arms treaty with the U.S. The treaty allowed the two countries to ensure compliance by inspecting each other’s nuclear arsenal multiple times each year.

“We’re not in a nuclear arms race today,” said Lynn Rusten, with the Nuclear Threat Initiative. “But it’s very concerning that we soon will be.” Meanwhile, The New York Times expressed concern that Russia’s suspension of the treaty may signal an “end to formal arms control.”

The Times pointed to nuclear proliferation in China, Iran and North Korea and said, “Every sign indicates the world may be on the verge of a new era of nuclear breakout.” However, it acknowledged that Russian President Vladimir Putin has “made clear” he is not completely pulling out of the treaty.

Socionomists note that trends toward negative social mood generally precede wars — in general, the bigger the trend, the bigger the war. On the bright side, social mood remains elevated in the United States. To learn more read, “What Socionomics Says About the Timing of the Next World War.”


If you look closely, you can see patterns in social mood that help you predict social trends. Learn more with the Socionomics Premier Membership.