The Socionomist

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  [Article] The War Over Drugs: Is There Any End In Sight?

  “The Coming Collapse” compared drug-related violence in Mexico to Chicago’s gang wars of the 1930s. Wilson predicted a dramatic escalation in bloodshed and, eventually, cries for legalization to end the killing, just as happened with the earlier prohibition.
   
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  [Article] Herding at Heathrow

  Herding was very helpful for avoiding a stone-age lion mauling, but today it can cause real agony in the civilized jungle of stock market trading floors.
   
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  [Article] Social Mood Regulates the Popularity of Stars: The Beatles

  In this exhaustive report from Robert Prechter, you will discover that social mood drives not only market movement, but also the fame, fortune and fallout of the most iconic band in history.
   
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  [Article] Military and Political Leaders Need a Socionomic Perspective

  Guest contributor Michael Flagg asserts that even the best military and political analysts tend to commit a cardinal sin of forecasting. In this discussion, Michael explores the errors of conventional analysis and explains how socionomics gives a better context for understanding geopolitical and corporate conflict.
   
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  [Article] Socionomics in a Snap

  Read an in-depth interview with Robert R. Prechter, Jr., founder of the Socionomics Institute. “I always feel that it’s taking too long for people to discover socionomics. But when I review the latest developments, I realize that progress is coming along nicely.”
   
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  [Article] Where I Believe Socionomics is Heading

  In a full question and answer interview, Mark Almand and Robert Prechter walk you through the development of socionomic thought from news headlines to the academic chalkboards. This issue also delves into new theoretical insights including a detailed chart of the structure of socionomic theory that puts all the pieces in place.
   
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  [Article] Socionomics Can Benefit Sociology: Baby Names

  What motivates how parents name their children? Seven sociologists attacked this question in three different studies, without a consistent answer between them. Socionomics has an answer, linking name popularity to epidemics and the NASDAQ Composite Index.
   
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  [Article] Authoritarianism Study: Part 2

  By Alan Hall, originally published in the May 2010 Socionomist The Source of Authoritarian Expression, And The Road Ahead Sociologists typically study authoritarianism within a left-right political spectrum. But as we showed in Part I, a society’s authoritarian impulse is rooted in social mood. Our socionomic Nolan chart illustrates how […]
   
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  [Article] Authoritarianism Versus Anti-authoritarianism: The Tension Boils Over As Negative Mood Deepens

  Socionomics posits that waves of social mood motivate the rise of authoritarian governments, and that the current wave could put a new group of dictators into office. Part 1 of this study shows that over the past 300 years, the world’s most notorious authoritarians rose to power or committed their worst atrocities during or soon after bear markets. He also clarifies shifts in what’s considered socially, politically and morally normal and why it’s important to know about these changing trends today. Part 2 explains the grassroots sources of authoritarian desire and forecasts ways in which it will most likely manifest itself in the future.
   
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  [Article] During Negative Mood Periods, Society Redefines What’s “Normal”

  We forecast that a continuing long-term trend toward negative social mood will produce increasingly authoritarian—and anti-authoritarian—impulses and eventually lead to the appearance of severe authoritarian regimes around the globe.