Economy

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  [Article] Social Mood Governs Speed Limits, Auto Design, and Traffic Fatality Levels

  Euan Wilson takes the wheel and drives right to the heart of how social mood affects trends in auto design, driving habits, and even your safety on the road in this issue of the Socionomist.
   
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  [Article] The Wave Principle Delineates Phases of Social Caution and Ebullience

  This multi-decade study sketches a broad guide for anticipating phases in wealth-related social action. Robert Prechter and Alan Hall team up to discuss how four cyclical phases of social psychology influence attitudes on tax rates, financial regulation, relative financial wages, credit market debt, and wealth inequality.
   
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  [Audio] Up for Sale

  Using real estate price data from North America, Japan and Holland, Alan Hall reveals a common underlying psychological motivation behind real estate manias. The audio comes with five charts so you can see what Alan is talking about. PDF Download Running Time: 19 min 18 sec
   
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  [Audio] Part II: Alan Hall on Epidemic Disease

  Socionomist Alan Hall continues his discussion with radio journalist Tom Jeffries about negative social mood and epidemics. Part II explores how changes in mood impact human immunity. Hall discusses potential threats on the horizon and provides charts that illustrate the timing of epidemics and their similarity to financial manias. Running […]
   
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  [Audio] The Differences in Financial and Economic Decision Making

  Socionomics teaches us that people behave differently when making a financial decision to buy a stock or a home as compared to making an economic decision to buy a pair of shoes or a loaf of bread. Understanding the difference can have a huge impact on one’s success in the […]
   
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  [Audio] Did Alan Greenspan Fiddle While the Subprime Mortgage Market Burned?

  Residential mortgage foreclosures are skyrocketing. The subprime sector of the market is being particularly hard hit. Even worse, did the artificial demand created by hocus pocus financing inflate the price you paid for your house? Knowledge of Socionomics and the Wave Principle can help keep these types of things from […]
   
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  [Audio] You Owe The Government $516,000

  That’s right. You owe the government $516,000 plus another $112,000 to your own creditors. That’s a lot of debt to pay off. How did we get here and where are we going? Socionomics offers some insights and answers.
   
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  [Article] Social Mood Shapes Aggregate Opinion Regardless of Data

  One way to identify the effects of inflation and deflation is to observe significant changes in the money supply and in producer and consumer prices. One would think that as such measures rise, experts would be concerned about increasing inflation, and as those measures fall, they might begin to fear deflation. Is that what actually happens?
   
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  [Article] Predicting Economic and Monetary Trends

  How does one apply socionomic techniques to economic forecasting? A socionomist knows that the stock market is a meter of social mood, which is the engine of social progress and regress. Therefore, the current-time change in the stock market is an immensely useful indicator of upcoming economic change.
   
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  [Article] The Socionomic Insight vs. The Assumption of Event Causality

  The Enron Scandal: A Case in Point. The socionomic insight is that the conventional assumption about the direction of causality between social mood and social action is not only incorrect but the opposite of what actually occurs.