Financial Markets

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  [Article] Prechter, Casti Agree: Current Extreme in Fractal Pattern Indicates Approaching Downturn for Economy

  Originally published in the Dec. 2010 Socionomist In an interview last month on the Gabriel Wisdom Radio Show, Robert Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International, and John Casti, author of the well-received socionomics primer Mood Matters, said the wave of respite that began in March 2009 for financial instruments and […]
   
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  [Article] Can You Predict an Asset Bubble? Shout This from the Rooftops: Socionomists Can

  Most people—including Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke and the lion’s share of economists—think that it is impossible to predict asset bubbles.
   
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  [Article] Socionomics in a Snap

  Read an in-depth interview with Robert R. Prechter, Jr., founder of the Socionomics Institute. “I always feel that it’s taking too long for people to discover socionomics. But when I review the latest developments, I realize that progress is coming along nicely.”
   
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  [Article] The Fallacies of Trend Extrapolation and Reliance Upon Exogenous Causality

  Socionomics states that the stock market is not like physics. This essay reasserts the common problems economists and futurists experience in forecasting social and macroeconomic trends and the role of optimism in the economy.
   
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  [Article] The Wave Principle Delineates Phases of Social Caution and Ebullience

  This multi-decade study sketches a broad guide for anticipating phases in wealth-related social action. Robert Prechter and Alan Hall team up to discuss how four cyclical phases of social psychology influence attitudes on tax rates, financial regulation, relative financial wages, credit market debt, and wealth inequality.
   
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  [Audio] Up for Sale

  Using real estate price data from North America, Japan and Holland, Alan Hall reveals a common underlying psychological motivation behind real estate manias. The audio comes with five charts so you can see what Alan is talking about. PDF Download Running Time: 19 min 18 sec
   
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  [Audio] Part II: Alan Hall on Epidemic Disease

  Socionomist Alan Hall continues his discussion with radio journalist Tom Jeffries about negative social mood and epidemics. Part II explores how changes in mood impact human immunity. Hall discusses potential threats on the horizon and provides charts that illustrate the timing of epidemics and their similarity to financial manias. Running […]
   
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  [Audio] 10 Minutes with Robert Prechter

  Peabody Award-winning journalist Don Shelby interviews Robert Prechter about the herding impulse, social mood, the financial bailout and the media. Click the play button to listen to this interview originally broadcast on WCCO radio. Running Time: 10 min 21 sec
   
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  [Audio] What a Socionomic Research Scientist Does

  Ever wonder how research in the science of Socionomics is conducted? Dan Gough interviews Deepak Goel of the Socionomics Institute, a physicist by training, on how he conducts research into socionomic subjects such as social mood, Elliott Waves, and so on.
   
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  [Audio] The Differences in Financial and Economic Decision Making

  Socionomics teaches us that people behave differently when making a financial decision to buy a stock or a home as compared to making an economic decision to buy a pair of shoes or a loaf of bread. Understanding the difference can have a huge impact on one’s success in the […]