Attention, Detroit: How to Predict Changes in Automobile Styling
It’s almost inevitable. At some time in your life, you’ll be on a car lot, shopping for new wheels.
It’s almost inevitable. At some time in your life, you’ll be on a car lot, shopping for new wheels.
Socionomic theory proposes that as mood goes, the aggregate character of social events will follow. A trend toward positive mood indicates a likelihood for social harmony, peace and social cohesion. A trend toward negative mood indicates a likelihood for relative social discord, conflict and breakdowns in social cohesion.
When stock prices have been rising for some time, terrorist organizations seem to find it difficult to attract and keep highly talented or highly skilled people, and there are no terrorist attacks. That’s the power of positive social mood.
Consider the following terrorism-related events: Bin Laden’s fatwa announcement, bombings of U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania, the U.S.S. Cole bombing and the attacks on September 2011. What do they have in common? They ALL occurred at lows in Egypt’s Hermes stock index. The article gives you an eye-opening chart and analysis of what the “Arab Spring” says about mood – and the likely path of terrorism — in the Middle East now.
Newsweek’s cover in March 2009 declared that “Radical Islam is a Fact of Life.” Yet less than one year later — in a drastic change of tone — Newsweek’s cover stated, “How Bin Laden Lost the Clash of Civilizations: The Untold Story of the Triumph of Muslim Moderation.” Discover how and why socionomics anticipated this reversal in Islamist extremism – back when the first cover published. Also learn the one fatal error Newsweek made with its predictions.
Rising social mood causes both rising stock prices and constructive social behavior. Falling social mood causes falling stock prices and destructive social behavior. For a closer look at the negative side of social mood, we have collected data from Asia’s three active warfronts.
Mark Galasiewski Editor, The Elliott Wave Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast Areas of research include Asian-Pacific markets, automobiles, fashion and the Middle East. Mark Galasiewski (gala-SHEV-ski) began his analytical career in 2001, researching company fundamentals at an institutional brokerage in Stamford, Connecticut. After joining Elliott Wave International in 2005, Mark contributed to […]
Before the government fell in Tunisia, and before the first can of tear gas was thrown in Egypt, analysts at the Socionomics Institute forecast an environment favorable to an increase in violence across the region.
In early March, Newsweek’s cover proclaimed, “Radical Islam Is a Fact of Life. How to Live With It.” Socionomist Mark Galasiewski believes that the headline probably marks the multi-year peak in Islamic extremism.
There is a high correlation between automobile engine horse power and the inflation adjusted Dow Jones Industrial Average. That correlation is unusually strong in relation to Chevrolet Corvette engine power. Improve your investing and socionomic skills by taking in this discussion.