Politics

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  [Social Mood Watch] The Elections Paper: Socionomics and Politics Achieve Peer Review

  The Socionomics Institute is pleased to announce that its latest research, “Social Mood, Stock Market Performance and US…
   
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  [Social Mood Watch] Who Will Win the November Election? Consider Social Mood

  Given the state of the economy, by any historical standard, Barack Obama should be 15 points behind Mitt Romney. Why is he tied?
   
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  [Article] Hard Data, Hard Knocks and Hard Times

  Government surveillance is burgeoning, entertainment is rife with violence, disruptive technology threatens education, and you won’t believe the bear-market sitcom that is making a comeback.
   
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  [Article] Why the Stock Market Is a Good Predictor of Presidential Elections

  Conventional wisdom says, “It’s the economy, stupid.” But socionomic theory predicts that the stock market would be a better register of social mood than the economy.
   
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  [Article] What Socionomics Says about the Timing of the Next World War

  If EWI’s outlook is correct, then, World War III is unlikely to commence until after…
   
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  [Article] Paternalism in Washington: One Big, Happy Federal Family?

  Social mood declines generate increasing fear. As society becomes more fearful, many individuals yearn for the safety and order promised by strong, controlling leaders.
   
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  [Article] The Government Entitlement Tsunami will Subside

  After 80 years of persistent growth, Washington’s annual spending on entitlements now accounts for more than half of total federal outlays.
   
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  [Article] Does Social Mood Influence Accusations of Presidential Ineligibility?

  Social mood has a dramatic effect on the public’s attitude toward sitting leaders. The socionomic model shows that rising social mood tends to lead to presidential reelections while falling social mood leads to oustings.
   
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  [Social Mood Watch] Authoritarianism Is No Laughing Matter, Well, Most of the Time

  Is the National Security Agency leveraging bogus cyberattack threats to further its agenda?
   
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  [Article] Alliances Cracking as Mood Declines

  Protectionism has appeared this year in the form of threats by multiple nations against one another. China is at the center of many of the disputes.