Social Mood Conference  |  Socionomics Foundation

Robert Prechter

  • [Article] Challenging the Conventional Assumption About the Presumed Sociological Effect of Terrorist News

    [Article] Challenging the Conventional Assumption About the Presumed Sociological Effect of Terrorist News

    There is probably not one person in a million who would disagree with the conventional view, espoused everywhere, that the attacks of September 11, 2001 and the subsequent deliverance of anthrax-laced letters to individuals shattered the confidence of Americans. Yet that conclusion flies in the face of the facts.

     
  • [Article] Another Example of a Link Between Nature’s Trees and Waves

    [Article] Another Example of a Link Between Nature’s Trees and Waves

    Since plotting an aspect of a stylized tree produces a stylized Elliott wave, we may reiterate the suspicion that plotting aspects of robust fractals in the form of arbora in nature is likely to produce robust fractals called Elliott waves, with all the natural order and variation that we have come to know from their expressions in financial markets.

     
  • [Article] A Socionomic View of Central Bank Causality

    [Article] A Socionomic View of Central Bank Causality

    Both supporters and critics of the Federal Reserve System agree that the first cause of paper money inflation and credit expansion in the U.S. since 1913 is the Fed. How does a socionomist respond to this assertion?

     
  • [Article] The Socionomic Insight vs. The Assumption of Event Causality

    [Article] The Socionomic Insight vs. The Assumption of Event Causality

    The Enron Scandal: A Case in Point. The socionomic insight is that the conventional assumption about the direction of causality between social mood and social action is not only incorrect but the opposite of what actually occurs.

     
  • [Article] Stocks and Sex: A Socionomic View of Demographic Trends

    [Article] Stocks and Sex: A Socionomic View of Demographic Trends

    The fundamental observation of the new science of socionomics is that social mood, which is patterned according to the Wave Principle, is the generator of social action, be it economic, political or cultural. The key insight of socionomics is that the direction of causality between social mood and social action is precisely the opposite of that which is almost universally presumed; the former dictates the character of the latter, not vice versa.

     
  • [Article] Science is Revealing the Mechanism of the Wave Principle

    [Article] Science is Revealing the Mechanism of the Wave Principle

    It is one thing to say that the Wave Principle makes sense in the context of nature and its growth forms. It is another to postulate a hypothesis about its mechanism.

     
  • [Article] Science is Validating the Concept of the Wave Principle

    [Article] Science is Validating the Concept of the Wave Principle

    New discoveries in the field of complexity theory, fractal geometry, biology and psychology are rapidly yielding more knowledge bolstering the probability that the Wave Principle is a correct description of financial and social reality. This report provides a cursory overview of some of these advances.

     
  • [Article] A Historic Extreme in Baseball Emotions

    [Article] A Historic Extreme in Baseball Emotions

    Sports can provide a background for extreme emotions socially expressed.

     
  • [Article] The Fractal Design of Social Progress

    [Article] The Fractal Design of Social Progress

    R.N. Elliott’s discovery of the Wave Principle fifty years ago was a major breakthrough in sociology. His observations reveal that social psychological dynamics create the same pattern of “waves” in aggregate stock price movement from the smallest to the largest degree of trend.