Post Tagged with: "Herding"

• 

  [Audio] The Differences in Financial and Economic Decision Making

  Socionomics teaches us that people behave differently when making a financial decision to buy a stock or a home as compared to making an economic decision to buy a pair of shoes or a loaf of bread. Understanding the difference can have a huge impact on one’s success in the […]
   
• 

  [Audio] Corn, Ethanol and Hysteria

  Does using corn for energy make sense? Is common sense or hysteria behind this aspect of the green movement? Corn prices affect a very large percentage of the foods we eat and food inflation is rising. Socionomics helps us understand why the corn to energy movement is gaining in popularity.
   
• 

  [Article] Aircraft Accidents

  We postulated that a negative social mood—held by passengers, crew, maintenance workers and pilots alike—would tend to increase the chances for aircraft accidents and that a positive social mood would decrease them. Indeed that is the case.
   
• 

  [Article] Social Mood Shapes Aggregate Opinion Regardless of Data

  One way to identify the effects of inflation and deflation is to observe significant changes in the money supply and in producer and consumer prices. One would think that as such measures rise, experts would be concerned about increasing inflation, and as those measures fall, they might begin to fear deflation. Is that what actually happens?
   
• 

  [Article] The Human Social Experience Forms a Fractal

  This essay by Robert R. Prechter, Jr. originally appeared in: The Colours of Infinity. Clarke, Arthur C., et al (2004).  UK: Clearpress, pp. 128-139 View PDF   R.N. Elliott’s Discovery In the 1930s, Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered that aggregate stock market prices trend and reverse in recognizable patterns. In a […]
   
• 

  [Article] The Socionomic Insight vs. The Assumption of Event Causality

  The Enron Scandal: A Case in Point. The socionomic insight is that the conventional assumption about the direction of causality between social mood and social action is not only incorrect but the opposite of what actually occurs.
   
• 

  [Article] Did a Break in the Big Brands Signal a Decline in Social Mood?

  Can a basket of equities backed by a broad cross-section of commercial fantasy images developed over the course of a bull market reflect the end of that bull market ahead of other major indexes?
   
• 

  [Article] Science is Revealing the Mechanism of the Wave Principle

  It is one thing to say that the Wave Principle makes sense in the context of nature and its growth forms. It is another to postulate a hypothesis about its mechanism.