Post Tagged with: "War"

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  [Article] A Socionomic View of War, Stocks and Commodities

  Instead of asking how war affects the economy, stocks or commodities, the socionomist asks, “How do fluctuations in social mood affect the prices of stocks and commodities, the strength of the economy and the likelihood of war?” This non-conventional approach to causality eliminates conflicting assumptions and rationalizations, and provides the simplest explanation of the available data.
   
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  [Article] The Waves of War

  Rising social mood causes both rising stock prices and constructive social behavior. Falling social mood causes falling stock prices and destructive social behavior. For a closer look at the negative side of social mood, we have collected data from Asia’s three active warfronts.
   
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  [Video] History’s Hidden Engine – Why Nations Go To War

  Trends in the stock market may first seem like an unlikely gauge of national aggression or tolerance, yet a close look at how bull and bear markets relate to war and peace makes this case surprisingly compelling.
   
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  [Press] Egypt Protests: Another Domino?

  GAINESVILLE, Ga. / January 31, 2011 – Before the government fell in Tunisia, and before the first can of tear gas was thrown in Egypt, analysts at the Socionomics Institute forecast an environment favorable to an increase in violence across the region.
   
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  [Article] What Truly Dictates Peace and Conflict in the Middle East?

  Before the government fell in Tunisia, and before the first can of tear gas was thrown in Egypt, analysts at the Socionomics Institute forecast an environment favorable to an increase in violence across the region.
   
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  U.S. Secessionist Sentiment is on the Rise – Will your State Revolt?

  Secession isn’t relegated to the history book; it’s a powerful modern political force and springs from the bear-market impulse to polarize and separate. Declines in social mood chip away at the foundations of authority, eventually pushing citizens to attack their own government. In this report, Alan Hall compiles the first-ever index of U.S. secessionism movements to show how, when and why a people revolt.
   
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  [Article] The Developing European Tinderbox: The EU Appears Set to Go Up in Flames

  Brian Whitmer, editor of Elliott Wave International’s European Financial Forecast, teams up with The Socionomist to deliver an arresting account of the social climate in Europe and shows how negative social mood is driving apart the economies and politics of the European Union. His analysis shows compelling socionomic parallels between early America and modern Europe, warning of the largest threat to European solidarity since World War II.
   
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  [Article] Nuclear Tests

  For years we have maintained that the detonation of nuclear bombs, while it may stir transient emotions, has no effect on the social mood; rather, social mood determines the penchant for exploding nuclear devices.
   
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  [Article] Socionomics and the Sudden Wave of Violence

  The U.S. market has proved to be a reliable forecaster of coming periods of global peace or conflict. Specifically, major declines in the U.S. stock market have forewarned of major international conflicts.
   
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  [Article] Israel and Hezbollah

  In truth, wars in the Middle East DO NOT move the stock market. Every single day includes “good” and “bad” news of some sort, and it’s easy to retrofit that news to an up or down close in the Dow.