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What Is Socionomic Voting Theory?
Sections in this Article What Is Socionomic Voting Theory? It’s the theory that social mood — not the economy — drives elections. Socionomic voting theory, developed by Robert Prechter, holds…
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Can the Stock Market Predict Election Landslides?
Sections in this Article Can the Stock Market Predict Election Landslides? Yes — with striking accuracy. When researchers examined U.S. elections with both large stock market moves and lopsided results,…
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Do GDP, Inflation, and Unemployment Predict Presidential Elections?
Sections in this Article Do GDP, Inflation, and Unemployment Predict Presidential Elections? Not reliably. In a study of all U.S. presidential re-election bids, researchers found “no significant relationships between the…
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Why Do Incumbent Presidents Lose?
Sections in this Article Why Do Incumbent Presidents Lose? Because social mood turned negative — not because of the economy. According to socionomic research by Prechter, Goel, Parker, and Lampert,…
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Does the Stock Market Predict Presidential Elections?
In a study of all U.S. presidential re-election bids, researchers found “a positive, significant relationship between the incumbent’s vote margin and the prior net percentage change in the stock market.”…
