Socionomics takes you back to where Russia’s “War on the West” began. Hint: It’s on a RTSI chart
Russia invaded Ukraine on Feb. 24, 2022, and tensions have only risen between Russia & the western world. In June 2024, a Kremlin spokesman called the U.S. “an enemy of the state” for the first time, while the final days of December saw President Vladimir Putin warning that any further deployment of missiles to Ukraine from the U.S. and NATO would “push Moscow to a red line we can’t step back from.” (Financial Times, Dec. 16)
But Russia’s Trading System Index warned of major shifts in stock prices and social mood YEARS earlier, when those “red lines” were barely a shade of pink. Read this excerpt from Chapter 2 of our FREE “Must-Read Highlights” report:
– Russia: From Bull Market to Global Bully –
Figure 4 below is a chart of the Russian Trading System Index from its inception. Our Elliott wave count in the RTSI shows that a clear five-wave advance beginning in 1999 is near completion. During this time, the RTSI increased by sixty-fold. This index should soon begin its biggest bear market since the five-wave pattern began. The minimum probable drop — a move into the area of the fourth wave of 2004 — would more than halve the value of the index.
Such a decline should produce financial and social events of a character comparable to those seen during comparable declines in the past. Viewed in the context of russian history, this outlook has serious geostrategic implications.
Recent events do seem to foreshadow the expected social character of the ensuing contraction. They suggest that the onset of a bear market in russia should be taken very seriously.
The stage is set for a complete return to autocracy.
This situation indicates the re-emergence of a ruling class and perhaps new dictatorship in russia. Putin’s power now is nearly absolute, and he probably won’t relinquish it.
[Editor’s Note: RTSI peaked in 2008 and plummeted 85% into 2009 before regaining its footing albeit wobbly. In February 2014, Ukraine’s Revolution of Dignity sparked Russia’s occupation of Crimea from Ukraine and the Russo-Ukrainian War]
December 2007 “Socionomic Study of Russia: Sizing Up a Superpower”
[Editor’s Note: In January 2020 Putin announced his intention to modify the Russian constitution in a way that would scrap term limits for presidents, paving the way for him to remain in office indefinitely.]
March 2014 Socionomist
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- Authoritarianism Across the Globe
- Epidemics: Spanish Flu to Covid 19
- Marijuana Legalization Movement
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