Social mood predicted how cheap drones would level the warring field in 2012
Russia possesses roughly 12 times more military aircraft and over 5 times more main battle tanks than Ukraine.
Its naval fleet is 4 times bigger than Ukraine.
And yet, 4 years in, Ukraine just executed “one of the country’s deepest attacks on Russian territory in the war so far” (CNBC, July 7). Its “domestically made cruise missiles” struck a key oil refinery in the city of Omsk, putting “Siberia in reach.”
Socionomics anticipated that “poorer nations with low-cost weapons” would test the might of developed countries – over 14 years ago! Our Feb. 2012 Socionomist called the tactic “belligerence-on-the-cheap.”
Now, our July 2026 Socionomist revisits those original forecasts, and explains how this shift could challenge the U.S. as the world’s leading military.
